BTC is currently trading around $58,400 and ETH around $2,350. Notable gainers in the last 24 hours are POL, MATIC, and QNT. The global crypto market cap is $2.14T, down 0.4% over the last day. DeFi Total Value Locked is ~$80b and BTC dominance is around 57%.
Crypto prices are flat while global equity markets are generally higher, with some attributing the strength to a greater chance the Fed cuts interest rates by a larger 50 bps rather than 25 bps next week. Indeed, the market had just about locked in a 25 bps cut from the Fed, with Fed funds futures implying an 85% chance of a 25 bps cut and 15% for a 50 bps cut as of yesterday. However, those odds are now roughly evenly split, with the media attributing the change to Financial Times and Wall Street Journal articles arguing it’s a close call, as well as comments by several former Fed officials. Market participants also appear to be split on the potential market reaction, with some believing a larger cut could spook the markets as it may imply the Fed is worried about growth, while others believe a larger cut would support risk assets.
Notable news includes: England’s High Court of Justice ruled that Tether’s USDT stablecoin is property; the SEC expanded its lawsuit against Binance to name additional tokens as securities; a court filing by crypto exchange Kraken revealed that it is seeking a jury trial in its SEC lawsuit; Kalshi launched its US election prediction markets for two hours before halting them upon an appeals attempt by the CFTC; asset manager Janus Henderson announced its entry into the securities tokenization space; MicroStrategy revealed that it bought $1.1b of Bitcoin in August and September; Coinbase’s wrapped Bitcoin cbBTC hit $100m market cap; DeFi lender Sky/MakerDAO will vote to fully off-board all wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) from its ecosystem due to perceived risks from Tron founder Justin Sun’s involvement with the custodian for the underlying assets; Ethereum L2 ZKsync launched a three-body governance system; web3 gaming ecosystem Treasury DAO proposed to migrate from Arbitrum to ZKsync; and, Donald Trump announced that his family crypto project World Liberty Financial will launch on September 16.
Sign up to conveniently receive GSR crypto content in your inbox.
Author:
Brian Rudick, Senior Strategist | Twitter, Telegram, LinkedIn
Carlos Guzman, Research Analyst | Twitter, Telegram, LinkedIn
Toe Bautista, Research Analyst | Twitter, Telegram, LinkedIn
This material is provided by GSR (the “Firm”) solely for informational purposes, is intended only for sophisticated, institutional investors and does not constitute an offer or commitment, a solicitation of an offer or commitment, or any advice or recommendation, to enter into or conclude any transaction (whether on the terms shown or otherwise), or to provide investment services in any state or country where such an offer or solicitation or provision would be illegal. The Firm is not and does not act as an advisor or fiduciary in providing this material. GSR is not authorised or regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. The protections provided by the UK regulatory system will not be available to you. Specifically, information provided herein is intended for institutional persons only and is not suitable for retail persons in the United Kingdom, and no solicitation or recommendation is being made to you in regards to any products or services.
This material is not a research report, and not subject to any of the independence and disclosure standards applicable to research reports prepared pursuant to FINRA or CFTC research rules. This material is not independent of the Firm’s proprietary interests, which may conflict with the interests of any counterparty of the Firm. The Firm trades instruments discussed in this material for its own account, may trade contrary to the views expressed in this material, and may have positions in other related instruments.
Information contained herein is based on sources considered to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. Any opinions or estimates expressed herein reflect a judgment made by the author(s) as of the date of publication, and are subject to change without notice. Trading and investing in digital assets involves significant risks including price volatility and illiquidity and may not be suitable for all investors. The Firm is not liable whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this material. Copyright of this material belongs to GSR. Neither this material nor any copy thereof may be taken, reproduced or redistributed, directly or indirectly, without prior written permission of GSR.